Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 56.678060 64.604477 72.783727 81.820999 91.493853 101.506060 112.622387
2025-04-13 43.139890 54.152232 66.126105 79.972735 95.411095 111.974107 130.968506
2025-04-20 37.782212 50.803840 65.483148 82.971010 102.971165 124.892001 150.502993
2025-04-27 33.208809 47.591577 64.342596 84.819070 108.740038 135.417281 167.048336
2025-05-04 28.359050 43.419209 61.547510 84.269745 111.351363 142.039213 178.911857
2025-05-11 24.208120 39.628315 58.803918 83.417009 113.298541 147.648770 189.408540
2025-05-18 21.366238 37.202542 57.480754 84.051824 116.817517 154.933723 201.716568
2025-05-25 18.472789 34.393061 55.420913 83.562299 118.808944 160.291719 211.678562
2025-06-01 16.273516 32.312358 54.121317 83.871658 121.650246 166.565555 222.646658
2025-06-08 13.906826 29.728053 51.950662 82.897740 122.771174 170.677877 230.981253
2025-06-15 12.572352 28.556006 51.598033 84.204496 126.682291 178.121094 243.260613
2025-06-22 11.434208 27.567373 51.413433 85.667140 130.745828 185.725359 255.725871
2025-06-29 9.776636 25.566168 49.690585 85.018303 132.109010 190.055138 264.325833
2025-07-06 7.947481 23.021683 47.000161 82.914952 131.493550 191.871448 269.834866
2025-07-13 7.560788 23.019453 48.082393 86.011596 137.653826 202.125670 285.648081
2025-07-20 6.937317 22.494471 48.319229 87.894122 142.203341 210.363756 299.006115
2025-07-27 5.873086 20.957281 46.883661 87.333853 143.463991 214.430208 307.215648
2025-08-03 4.880224 19.392247 45.291394 86.462651 144.245563 217.846379 314.592193
2025-08-10 4.263280 18.531553 44.777273 87.111144 147.043051 223.810811 325.124548
2025-08-17 3.538835 17.279922 43.526321 86.611087 148.236247 227.694503 333.049645
2025-08-24 3.016530 16.406786 42.853611 86.927103 150.515972 232.958613 342.695017
2025-08-31 2.396498 15.114642 41.357859 85.932194 150.939141 235.790889 349.267843
2025-09-07 2.115890 14.704082 41.399561 87.267092 154.589835 242.814776 361.129552